Reactions to the 2016 Financial Statements

We read through the financial statements and have a few observations, with a hat tip to Marc F. of spcomm who beat us to the punch on many of these points (spcomm membership required):

The bad:

  • Our cash position remains bad.  While the disparity between operating cash and accounts payable isn’t nearly as bad as last year (when we had under $200k in cash and almost $3MM in outstanding payables), at the end of 2016 we still had more accounts payable than operating cash.  We also drew down our line of credit by $950k (to pay the public adjuster lawsuit settlement, which was reached in 2015 but paid in 2016) and appear to have used about $1.2MM in reserve funds during the course of 2016.  The coop is also no longer keeping a separate playroom account but has moved the playroom funds into the general operating account.
  • Property taxes continue their relentless march to the stratosphere, approaching $10MM and accounting for more than a third of our total expenditures.
  • Legal costs are up by almost a quarter million.  We assume this is primarily the result of the garage litigation, where five shareholders sued the co-op to try to invalidate the parking lease with Icon Parking.  The co-op’s motion to dismiss the case (and a motion to recover our fees from the plaintiffs in accordance with the proprietary lease) was fully submitted in September 2016 but the judge has not yet ruled.
  • Commercial arrears continue creeping back up at about $100k per year since the massive write-offs of 2014.

The good:

  • Operating, repair, and maintenance expenses are down, particularly steam and gas heat, water and sewer charges, maintenance materials and supplies, plumbing and heating, window repair, and landscaping.
  • As promised in last year’s financials, the Icon contract resulted in Garage revenue going up by almost $100k.  There is a possibility for that number to increase further if enough shareholders are added to the parking roster.
  • Sublet fees are up almost $100k.  This despite oft-repeated false claims by certain shareholders that the Board “lowered” sublet fees.
  • Flip tax reached a record high of almost $6.5MM, up $2.2MM over last year.  We expect strong flip tax collections again in 2017, but probably not this high.

Prognosis:

  • With property taxes continuing to go up and some major capital repairs on the horizon stemming from the discovery of 60-year-old construction defects in some of the 18th floor terraces, we don’t expect to see break from maintenance hikes in the foreseeable future.
  • That said, with the air rights proposal on the table, and (even if we don’t sell air rights) the possibility of refinancing our mortgage in the next year or two, the Board may be able to finance some of the long-term expenses and keep maintenance increases to a minimum.  This already appears to be the mindset of the Board, as they recently passed a 1.5% maintenance increase to go into effect for fiscal 2018 as part of the N+1 budgeting process.

On the likelihood of a big maintenance increase

Tiny fliers appeared under many doors this weekend.  While unsigned, they use the same fonts, writing style, and printing technology as a certain former director’s namesake newsletter.

While small in size, these fliers packed in quite a few pieces of information.  We will try to address the other (mostly dubious) items in a future post, but the most significant was a prediction of a 10-15% maintenance increase.

If true (and based on recent financial statements, we believe it is entirely possible), this would be the largest maintenance increase in quite a few years.  It will be painful for everyone.

That said, we do not see what other choice the Board has.  While Boards in recent years have taken several commendable actions to decrease expenses in certain areas (investing in our own boilers for the first time in the co-op’s history, bringing security in-house, etc.), many non-controllable expenses continue to go up.  Property taxes alone went up over $4MM (net of abatements) between 2008 and 2015.

During that same period, maintenance collections increased by less than $2MM, a cumulative increase of only 16%.  There were many years during that period where the Board staved off maintenance increases by spending flip tax receipts, flipping apartments, spending down reserves, and avoiding paying off debt.  But their avoidance of maintenance increases has left us with an empty operating account, outstanding debts that are as large as ever, and a big gap where predictable recurring expenses have increased by millions more than predictable recurring revenues.

So as much as we hate to see an increase in our monthly bills, we believe the Board will be doing the right thing if they take action to plug the hole left by their predecessors and balance the budget.

 

On the Annual Meeting

crack

the need for repairs is no joke

The 2015 Annual Meeting of the Shareholders was one of the most informative Board presentations in recent memory, and also one of the best attended. Current Board President Dave Pass led a quick review of the Board’s activities over the past year and then spent a great deal of time explaining the current state of our physical plant and finances. Mr. Pass, together with General Manager Frank Durant and a panel of outside experts (Greenthal’s financial and engineering experts, and the co-op’s attorney and auditor), made a compelling case for the immediate need for new roofs, continuing brickwork, and a way to pay for it. Continue reading